Ian

A Big Election

There's nothing pollsters like more than a big election. It's a chance for them to test the degree of accuracy of their understanding of public opinion.

US Voting beginsPersonally, I don't really mind who's going to be the next President of the United States - as long as it's Obama - but I do have a real interest in finding out which poll is going to come the closest at predicting the margin of victory.

This year, my money's on the Harris Poll - they've got a great track record in this - and I have to say that they're suggesting a landslide in favour of Obama.

While other pollsters broadly agree on the outcome - the difference in the size of Obama's victory is up for much debate.

Which of the polls below do you reckon will come the closest? (Competition ends just before final results announced!!)

Pre-election final polls - scores on the doors:

  • Harris: 52% - 44% in favour of Obama. (Margin 8%)
  • Gallup: 53% - 40% in favour of Obama. (Margin 13%)
  • Rasmussen: 52% - 46% in favour of Obama. (Margin 6%)
  • Washington Post: 54% - 43% in favour of Obama. (Margin 11%)
  • Ipsos: 48% - 43% in favour of Obama. (Margin 5%)
Daniel

D-rat!

Woke up the other day and looked out into the back garden.  Saw this amusing sight. 

Dead rodent

Obviously not amusing for the mouse/rat/vole rodent thing, but it looked like it was auditioning for a part as a stunt double in Stuart Little.  Not quite sure why it was lying there on its back legs up in the air.

Anyway, I thought Ian would appreciate it if I turned it into a caption competition.  Also, feel free to put forward your expertise as to what could have been the cause of death.

The best entry wins a prize. Don't know what yet, was thinking of possibly an intellimouse